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Australian Politics

Poll Sum; 4th Mar


Sheer number crunching brilliance and analysis as usual

Ærchies Archive - Digital Detritus

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POLL SUMMARY

HEADLINE NUMBERS

Lib |ALP

46.427%|53.573%

6,964,050|8,035,950

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THIS WEEK

One Poll, Essential 17/02 was deleted.

Two Polls, Ipsos 2/03, Essential 3/3 were added

A total of 8913 Australians were polled

poll04a

Percentages converted back to Raw Numbers

Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled.

Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.

poll04b

Note:- Newspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 25-75 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.

Two Party Preferred

poll04c

Translating this into electoral numbers,

assuming 15 million electors

we have a National Two Party Preferred of

L-NP6,964,050 Votes

ALP 8,035,950 Votes

Which leads to – – –

THE DIFFERENCE CHART

poll04majors

A difference of

7.11% or

1,071,900 voters.

A major swing to the right of another 1.5% but still over a…

View original post 381 more words

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  1. Pingback: Poll Sum; 4th Mar | polyfeministix – Writen by TRISH CORRY | winstonclose - March 4, 2015

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Trish Corry

trishcorry

trishcorry

I love to discuss Australian Politics. My key areas of interest are Welfare, Disadvantage, emotions in the workplace, organisational behaviour, stigma, leadership, women, unionism. I am pro-worker and anti-conservativism/Liberalism. I am a proud member of the Australian Labor Party and you will find my blog posts written from a Laborist / Progressive Slant.

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