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Australian Politics

Poll Sum 29th July 2015

Poll Sum by Archie 29 July, 2015. Thank you Archie for all your statistical brilliance.

Ærchies Archive - Digital Detritus

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 POLL SUMMARY

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THIS TWO WEEK PERIOD

A total of 8,536 voters were polled.

Two Polls, Morgan 13/07, Essential 14/07 were deleted

Two polls, Morgan 27/07, Essential 28/07 were added.

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Percentages converted back to Raw Numbers

Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled.

Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.

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Note:- Galaxy/Newspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 20-80 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.

Two Party Preferred

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Translating this into electoral numbers,

assuming 15 million electors

we have a National Two Party Preferred of

L-NP 7,023,150 Votes

ALP 7,976,850 Votes

Which leads to – – –

THE DIFFERENCE CHART

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A difference of

6.358% or

953,700 voters.

This week sees a major shiftback to the left. Pretty well back to where we were in the…

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Discussion

One thought on “Poll Sum 29th July 2015

  1. I think the thing about all these polls is that they are mainly consistent,and have been since a couple of months of LNP taking office,the LNP are almost a million votes in arrears and it will take a miracle to claw their way back into Govt one would think.””””

    Like

    Posted by brickbob | July 30, 2015, 12:43 pm

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Trish Corry

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I love to discuss Australian Politics. My key areas of interest are Welfare, Disadvantage, emotions in the workplace, organisational behaviour, stigma, leadership, women, unionism. I am pro-worker and anti-conservativism/Liberalism. You will find my blog posts written from a Laborist / Progressive Slant.

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